OUR FOCUS MARKETS
Industrial and Logistics
In 2021, the industrial and logistics market continued to experience strong demand. The market has been a major beneficiary of pandemic-related lockdowns, which resulted in a structural shift of retail sales moving online and a record amount of warehouse space take-up.
Throughout last year, the Group completed on just under 500,000 sq ft of industrial and logistics development and, in response to high demand, have committed to a further c.1,000,000 sq ft of industrial space, with a Gross Development Value of £165m.
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The residential market performed well last year, with UK house prices increasing as many households re-evaluated their housing needs. The strong demand for UK housing underpinned housebuilders needs to replenish their land portfolios, with greenfield land values also increasing.
With over 92,500 plots of land within our strategic land portfolio and an aspiring multi-regional housebuilder, the Group is well placed to meet the market’s future growth requirements.
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Urban Development
With the UK beginning to return to some level of normality after the initial outbreak of the pandemic, there have been signs that big regional cities are recovering in footfall, with the continued belief that more people will be living in urban areas than rural by 2050.
The Group secured two urban development contracts in 2021, with a total value of £89m, whilst also making an acquisition of a site in Birmingham, which will be redeveloped into a 404-unit BtR scheme.
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In 2021, there was a UK record industrial space take-up of 55.1m sq ft, with the market continuing to outperform both the office and retail property sectors. In particular, take-up of warehouse space was supported by online retailers, who continued to perform well in last year’s lockdowns. This resulted in internet sales take home percentage of total retail sales increasing to just under 30% and according to DTRE, retailers accounted for 47.4% of UK take-up.
The pandemic clearly has played a significant role in accelerating e-commerce and the digital economy, which has resulted in the industrial and logistics sector performing with remarkable strength in recent times. This looks set to continue, and with vacancy rates at 2.6%, a record low, the market’s outlook remains positive for the future.
1. Source: Office for National Statistics
2. Source: Savills
The residential market performed strongly in 2021, which resulted in a total house price growth of 10.8% last year according to HM Land Registry, as people continued to re-evaluate their housing needs. Housing affordability was also supported by low mortgage rates and the average mortgage payment remained stable at around 30% of people’s take-home pay.
As a result of a buoyant housing market, there was robust demand from UK housebuilders for greenfield land, who were looking to quickly replenish their land portfolios to match the ongoing demand for new homes. According to Savills research, last year saw UK greenfield land values increase by 8.8%, the strongest annual growth since 2014.
1. Source: Savills
2. Source: Nationwide
Whilst the Urban Development market has been impacted by CV-19, there have been signs that our big regional cities are bouncing back, with an increase in footfall. There is a continued belief that by 2050, 90% of the population will live in urban areas, with people choosing to live in rental accommodation within prime urban areas, not only for work reasons but for better lifestyle options in general.
Over the past decade, private renters have significantly increased, and whilst during the pandemic rates have slightly dropped, they remained relatively stable. In particular, BtR rents increased by an average of 8% according to Zoopla research and JLL expect BtR rental growth of 2.7% pa between 2021 and 2025, with regional growth strongest in Birmingham and Manchester.
1. Source: Office for National Statistics
2. Source: GOV.UK